Garry Law's Public Issues Blog |
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Thursday, April 03, 2025
Liberation Day Trump's view of tariffs is hard to rationalise. At one time they are a source of revenue to allow tax deductions, next a tool to reindustrialise the USA, or something others use unfairly to disadvantage the USA, or at another a tool in pressuring others on international problems like cross-border illicit drugs or illegal immigration, or to push his position on Canada's status. Let's just look at fairness. It is hard to believe at the moment that the USA's current administration believes much in the benefits of free trade, but if they did, the way to progress it is free trade agreements. Here is the list for the USA. Yep, that is all of them. Now look at the top of the list in his list of offenders: Of the 11 there only one has a free trade agreement. The way to deal with unbalanced trading relations is to rebalance them. By fiat? They are all free parties and can respond as they choose, but neither the action nor the responses are going to deliver the benefits of free trade. Agreement is a better route. China and the EU as rivals are at a high bar, but both have comprehensive trade agreements with others, so they are not insurmountable. The dearth of USA free trade agreements is an American problem. They need to go through the US Congress, notorious for seeking to protect narrow and local interests. That is the main reason there are so few. But we cannot exempt Trump for he ended the USA's engagement in the CPTPP which was a route to fairer trade that many now have taken. But nor did Biden re-engage. Free trade - he does not believe in it - but that fault is not his alone. The consequence in tariff wars will be a poorer America and a poorer world. His other fault is seeing tariffs as a tool for anything, to be applied indiscriminately to whatever issue he is currently engaged in. That is just wrong. It is already damaging to world business confidence and if it persists even more so.
Monday, October 07, 2024
Fast Track Approvals Bill The Auckland list is below. The whole list is here: Fast-track
Schedule 2 Projects.pdf (beehive.govt.nz) It’s all about boosting economic growth - in the Government’s
argument – so here I am going to use some years of experience in Auckland’s infrastructure
and bit from both sides of resource consenting arguments to look at the
credibility of the list. I start from the view that any well-resourced organisation
should have its ducks in a row on its future needs, should have sufficient community
goodwill for there to be an understanding of its needs and if it has good consenting
experience behind it, then getting consents should be its bread and butter. I
have marked the projects below with “*?” Where they fail this test, I have more sympathy for smaller
organisations / developers, perhaps of recent creation, that lack this experience. Quite few projects look remote possibilities for funding from
their owners and some are controversial with their owners, or have alternatives.
These look like attempts to bounce the investment decisions onto the agencies' preferred options. Gut feel - and giving most housing projects the benefit of the
doubt, I have pink shaded the projects that look new and real and might deliver real
economic growth - 13 of the 28 in Auckland. Of the thirteen 7 are by agencies
who are big enough and fat enough to be doing their planning well without this assistance.
They should be ashamed. Overall not an impressive list. This is not an environmental assessment of the projects.
Friday, August 09, 2024
Water Reform the National Way The latest from the Government is here: Unlocking Local Water Done Well: New water service delivery models | Beehive.govt.nz It is not the legislation, but it signals what it will say. Essentially there is to be a financial incentive in terms or freer financing for water entities. What entities? Well, it appears they have to be CCOs. Further their borrowings are limited by their income. Here then is the Government carrot for the Councils to form CCOs. To date there has been a mandated process for them to look at that, forming joint ones where that is advantageous, but with the usual local government reluctance to reform, the outcome is far from certain. This takes it a bit further. The link to income is interesting. A lot of councils still fund a large proportion of their water operations through rates. This then appears to be a push towards metering, getting the future CCOs to have their own revenue, independent of Councils. A further detail is that the Councils need to stand behind their CCOs, as the provider of last resort, in effect guaranteeing their debt. Someone needs to do it, and the Councils are an obvious candidate. Three Waters, now repealed, passed it to Central Government (eventually). That recognised something in respect of local government capacity for finance. This sees a different reality. While a new CCO might have a greater borrowing capacity mandated by Government is it real? Owning Councils recognising their ultimate liability might still constrain borrowing. Jointly owned ones will probably be constrained by the most fiscally conservative of their owners. Still with freer sources of revenue with less ratepayer electoral influence, the CCOs might well still be in a better state then the present entities. To be credible borrowers the CCOs also need to be well run. Having fewer of them will help with that. This may deliver that. Government is still havering about more regulation on price and service. That may help or may not. Watch this space.
Wednesday, June 19, 2024
New Arrangements for Watercare Garry Law The Bill has
now appeared - Local
Government (Water Services Preliminary Arrangements) Bill 52-1 (2024),
Government Bill – New Zealand Legislation It covers more than Watercare, including the potential creation and regulation of Council-Controlled Water Organisations (CCWOs) for the rest of the country, outside Auckland. These might include stormwater if the Councils choose (but not in Auckland, Watercare is just water and wastewater). The process of creation of these – especially if they are joint across several Territorial Authorities - is tortuous. There is the ability to provide organisational resources to help in the creation of these. The former Three Waters programme was a mandated outcome to deliver fewer better resourced water entities. That was a fundamental need. The labelling of this change as Water Done Better is not credible. Meeting this fundamental need will not necessarily be the result. A better outcome from Local Government reforming itself lacks credibility. In the past the Government has always had to lead. The tools here for CCOs covering larger areas have always been available, investigated at times but rarely taken up. Wellington was an exception but a messed-up version with few assets. In an asset intensive undertaking like water that is a recipe for a poor outcome. Poor pricing and investment decisions resulted. One can predict slow progress with new CCWOs, despite that they must have a head start with the planning that was done with Three Waters entities, past asset management plans and long-term Council plans. Not mandating stormwater is an improvement. It was always a poor fit. I and others have commented on this before: Scroll down to an earlier post. Looking more to Watercare and its split from Auckland Council: During the Three Waters debates there was a fair bit of nonsense talked about debt. Local Government can borrow as much as it can afford to service, considering the amount of revenue it can generate, taking in some risk on the certainty of that. In Auckland the big revenue sources are rates and water metering income. You can borrow against one or the other or both. It’s a zero-sum game. The ability to borrow is set by the total. There was a lot made of creating the Three Waters entities freeing Councils’ ability to borrow. That could only happen when the separated water entity was placed in a poorer position with respect to borrowing. The zero-sum issue. This was rarely discussed but came to a head in a late piece of the Three Waters legislation where the Crown accepted it would have to guarantee the new water entities’ debt – an admission that negated an awful lot of the pro-Three Waters propaganda to that date. The control change was a lot more than Māori involvement. “Watercare charter. Clause
63 provides that the Crown monitor must prepare and make a Watercare
charter. Clause
64 sets out the details of what must be contained in a Watercare charter:
minimum service quality standards, financial performance objectives, and a
customer compensation scheme. Clause
65 requires Watercare to submit a draft business plan to the Crown monitor… Clause
66 requires that each business plan that Watercare submits to the Crown
monitor must cover a period of at least 10 consecutive financial years, with
more detail provided in respect of the first 3 years than for the rest of
the period. Clause
67 provides that when it receives a business plan from Watercare, the
Crown monitor must review the plan and provide comments to Watercare, and may
require Watercare to provide additional information. Clause
68 sets out the details of a price-quality path that must be contained in
Part 2 of a Watercare charter. Crown monitor to monitor and report on performance. Clause
71 requires the Crown monitor to monitor Watercare’s performance under the
charter. Clause
72 requires the Crown monitor to report annually on Watercare’s
performance against specified components of the charter. “ As at present, Auckland Council as owner cannot take a dividend from Watercare, nor can it guarantee any debt of Watercare. Essentially Watercare must now finance itself, off its own balance sheet – effectively the security of its cashflow and on its reputation to prudently manage its operations and new capital investment. The normal CCO ownership functions of considering cost and service quality have been transferred to the Crown. The Bill is silent on what rights Watercare has as a service provider. It is not the Act that other utilities have, to site, access and manage their needed assets and charge for their use. Perhaps this is still to come. It is a needed separation from being a Council function, using things like by-laws. Does this loss of control matter? Watercare is deeply embedded in the fabric of Auckland:
A further risk is of ever-increasing Crown assertion of ownership rights. Council has entered into a Faustian bargain – it is proposing to yield control of Watercare so as to maintain its ability to borrow as a Council for other purposes. Has it served the interests of Auckland? – in my view no. It is a short-sighted decision.
Appendix
– Council Controlled Organisations Normal businesses must consider four influences. Competitors, Customers, Regulators and Owners. A monopoly business has no competitors and hence its customers have no sovereignty, have no choice of suppliers and weak influence over service levels. Regulators and Owners become all-important. Regulations can be made in areas of Price, Quality (of products) and Service. In water, delivered water quality and effluent quality are regulated – the former inadequately as revealed by Hastings and now corrected. To date prices and service have not been regulated. It was threatened as part of Three Waters, but that was left as future work. Essentially with a local government owned monopoly CCO, the ownership function merges with control of prices and service levels. The Council is owner and part regulator. The whole control is by the Council and ultimately through the democratic process. The
change from this regime to the one proposed in the Bill is substantial and
worth of more debate that has occurred to date. Garry
has a long involvement in the water industry, in Auckland and Brisbane, in engineering,
management and consulting. He was the first Chief Executive of Watercare in its
initial bulk servicing role and later Manager Water in Brisbane City for water
and wastewater to end customer service.
Friday, April 26, 2024
Steve Braunias today announced his last Secret Diary in the Weekend Herald. Always a must read for me. Here is a homage: The Minster of Transport looked out his Beehive window at a wooded hill. It was grey and raining. Why did other ministers have a harbour view? Leave it to the responsible office to allocate them he was told. Hmm - he had lost out there. Was Gerry behind that? Simo “slasher” Brown was how he liked to think of himself. But hadn’t caught anyone else saying that yet. He had got rid of that pesky light rail rort in Auckland, the Ute Tax was gone, he had scrapped Let’s Get Wellington Moving. In his talks in Auckland, he had poured cold water on a train tunnel to the North Shore. On the plus side he had resurrected Roads of National Significance and floated a couple of great new ones. A serious announcement in the House. In the corridor afterwards he had passed Nicola and he thought she had muttered “All unfunded” but she hadn’t stopped. He remembered then a cocktail party exchange with Speaker Gerry – a once incumbent in his role - that you could get votes with prospective RONS, but delivering them was something else. Perhaps best left for the present opposition to cancel when it was their turn? The old grey engineer who was seconded to his office from NZTA popped his head around the door. Slasher wasn’t sure about him. Kept muttering about how things were done in the Ministry of Works. Not one of the bright young things he had often enjoyed working with. Anyway he had a report he had asked for on the consequences to the consulting industry of his announcements to date. It did not make good reading. More might be needed for new studies, not less, and more staff in-house to engage, brief and supervise them. It started to rain harder. Thursday night and the House rising seemed an age away. He was in Wellington for several more days. Somehow it did not all seem very triumphant. That damned trip to the Airport. A second tunnel to Kilbirnie was an election commitment. The old grey engineer had remarked that without approach roads it was custard. To hell with approach roads - tunnel all the way, he suddenly thought. A quick getaway to the Airport and Auckland on those miserable winter days. Why he could be the Minister that started Tunnels of National Significance, TONS. It sounded good, better than played-out RONS. It might need some studies. He asked for the old grey engineer to drop in. Could Waka K…, I mean NZTA, handle it? Not without a lot of consultants. Would the Minister like a report on the industry capacity to cope and a study budget estimate? No no, perhaps later. Just ask the press officer to drop in, I have a release to write. The sun came out, at least for a bit.
Sunday, December 24, 2023
The best change that the Government could make to its Three Waters proposal is to forget about including stormwater. Note - published on Facebook July 2022 Stormwater might seem at first glance to be another piped utility like water or sewerage. But the reality is it differs a lot, for the piped component is only a part of it. Concentrate on the piped part and you will get a poor outcome. Well-managed stormwater looks like this: Firstly the largest impervious areas that are connected to stormwater systems are roads. Managing stormwater fundamentally involves how road drainage is connected. Pollution from roads is controllable to a degree by road sweeping and by regular catchpit cleaning. With more modern roads often peak flow attenuation ponds are built into the road layout. Roads, a few state highways aside, are managed by local government. The greatest pollution events with stormwater are during land development, when bare soil is exposed and is prone to erosion. Controls by limiting bare soil areas and by using sediment traps come through local government consent processes. Best practice urban stormwater design involves retaining some natural waterways, which can only be done by detailed land use master planning – done by local government in advance of development. But because entirely natural systems and development are incompatible, because the amount and the timing of runoff inevitably changes. Limits are often placed on impervious area to reduce runoff and peaks – a control available to local government in plans and development approvals. Not everything can or should be piped. Piped systems need a relief in extreme storms – through planned overland secondary flow paths, again detailed in land-use planning – done by local government. To moderate intensification of flows mid-catchment ponds are often used. Not entirely natural but with care, better than pipes. They get planned in land use planning and get set into park areas, managed by local government. Lower in catchments, depending on the topography some flooding may be inevitable. Local government planning controls can limit areas which may be built on, or where building is allowed then floor levels need to be set above expected flood levels – through plans and consent controls. Flood overflow storage can need preserving by not allowing land filling to take place – again a local government control. Lastly where intensification is taking place there are off-sets that can be engaged such as on-site stormwater retention, think very local tanks or rain gardens, required as part of development – required by the consenters of the development – local government. These store some of the run-off, reducing peak flows and can have some quality benefits as well. Land use planning and development controls are key functions in stormwater management - best run by those that understand them – local councils. These functions are subject to local control through the elected councils – control appropriately close to the application. The message should be clear – local government is fundamental part of stormwater management. Any devolution to a remote pipes centred agency cannot get the same results, as it will not have all the tools. Local Government New Zealand is now saying delay transferring stormwater to the new entities. It’s better to not do it at all. Would stormwater’s management improve with some input of Mātauranga Mäori? Yes, but it would be more complete input through local government to involve all the tools. Reform of water supply and sewerage provision has long been needed to achieve better technical focus and economies of scale. Get on with that. Garry Law Garry has past engineering and management roles in water including Works Director at the ARC, first CE of Watercare and Manager Water for Australia’s largest council, Brisbane. (Below) A retained natural stream through an urban area flowing from top right to bottom left, through parkland. The pond in picture central is a retention and settling device to limit the peak flows and to encourage settlement of sediment.
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